Change trends and prediction for Lcluc in the Musayib area of Babylon Governorate using geomatics

Change trends and prediction for Lcluc in the Musayib area of Babylon Governorate using geomatics

Authors

  • أ.د. رقية احمد محمد امين Al-Iraqia University / College of Arts
  • أ.م.د بلسم شاكر شنيشل Al-Iraqia University / College of Arts
  • الباحث. حسين صدى عباس Al-Iraqia University / College of Arts

Keywords:

Keywords: hybrid classification, direction of change, simulation of future change, model of ca-markov

Abstract

Determine the axes of trends of Lcluc changes in Musayib district – north of Babylon Governorate for the period between 2000-2020 for the satellite Landsat-8,7, after making the necessary digital processors for those images and classifying them using hybrid classification in the software ARC GIS 10.7, ERDAS 2014 and the adoption of the classification system of the US Geological Survey USGS. Therefore, the goal here is to know the areal change in Lcluc and determine the axes of the most changing trend of Lcluc, the general trend of Lcluc, and the general direction of change in the region, and to predict what will become of future changes and what are the most vulnerable uses to change, through the trend rose that shows the proportions of the areas of change and direction in the light of the results of digital processors of images and their classification, so the Idrisi program was used to simulate the future change of Lcluc for the region, and this software enables the possibility of applying the CA-MARKOV model that combines cellular self-behavior and Markov series analysis, Multi-Criteria Evolution evaluation analysis (MCE), Multi-Objective Land Allocation (MOLA), cover prediction procedures that add an element of spatial communication, and know of the potential spatial distribution of transformations that provide ideas for future planning.

Published

2023-05-23